ガザ地区での戦争終結シナリオ

In my opinion, there are three possible options: 1. Maintaining the Palestinian population in the Gaza Strip under the rule of the Palestinian Authority (West Bank Jordan). 2. Establishing a non-Islamic Arab government in the Gaza Strip, similar to the United Arab Emirates. 3. "Forced and permanent" relocation of the Gaza Strip population (2.2 million people) first to the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt as part of a "humanitarian project" and then distributing them among countries in the Mediterranean basin, including Greece and Spain. Whatever the case may be, it is very sad to witness what is happening to the civilian population in the Gaza Strip.

After another escalation of "Israeli defense," Iran steps in and... the Third World War begins. The scenario, hopefully I'm wrong, is completely realistic. There have already been several Iranian warnings.

There is only one scenario - the extermination of the civilian population and the annexation of this territory by Israel. It is interesting that when Russia does something like this, sanctions are imposed and the public opinion is outraged. However, when Israel does the same, everyone says that they have the right to defend their territory. Let everyone draw their own conclusions :)

There are many scenarios for the end of the war in the Gaza Strip: Signing a peace agreement: One possible scenario is the signing of a peace agreement between the conflicting parties. This scenario would require negotiations, concessions, and compromises from both sides, as well as the involvement of mediation and support from the international community. Unilateral ceasefire: Another scenario is the unilateral declaration of a ceasefire by one of the conflicting sides. This is a temporary solution that could give both sides the opportunity to assess the situation and potentially resume negotiations. International intervention: Another scenario involves international intervention to cease the fighting and protect civilians. Such intervention could be carried out by an organization such as the United Nations or another coalition of states representing international interests. Long-term ceasefire: This solution involves declaring a long-term ceasefire that could open the door to peace negotiations and resolve the long-standing conflict. Such a ceasefire would need to be supported by both Israel and Hamas. Ending the war in the Gaza Strip is a complex process that requires the involvement of all parties to the conflict and the solidarity of the international community. Efforts should focus on finding political, diplomatic, and humanitarian solutions that will ensure lasting peace and security for the residents of this region.

According to me, the war can only end when Hamas loses the ability to kill Israelis. Unfortunately, it does not seem likely, although it is not impossible. There are many scenarios, and I do not have a definite opinion on this matter.

The war broke out due to Putin, who bribed Arabs in Libya and Jordan to attack the Jews. Currently, Putin mainly supports China, which initially wanted to invade Taiwan and now has a dispute with India. Perhaps he became afraid of India's strengthening, as they are becoming a powerful country with the largest population in the world. Published "standard map of China for 2023," in which the disputed region of Aksai Chin and the Indian-administered state of Arunachal Pradesh are marked as Chinese territories, has caused strong reactions in India. The Foreign Minister described Beijing's claims as "absurd" - according to Reuters agency. If China starts focusing on India, it will stop supporting Putin, and then Putin will no longer instigate the Arabs, including Hezbollah, which is supported by Arab countries, including Jordan and even Egypt. The Gaza Strip is close to Egypt, far from Lebanon where Hezbollah originates. Therefore, Egypt also quietly supports Hezbollah. So, without Putin's support, Hezbollah will end the war in the Gaza Strip.

First, Israel will pacify the entire Gaza Strip, kill all Hamas fighters, and then likely displace the Palestinians. Unless there is pressure from outside, they may let them stay, but there will be strict controls in the area to prevent them from launching another attack.

All scenarios are defined for solutions and are in my opinion different in probability.  Complete failure of Palestine  Complete failure of Israel (if with the help of other Muslim countries)  Global intervention with the creation of 2 independent states.  Generally, it is impossible to assume that any solution will be bloodless or have a happy ending. Even in the case of the last one. It is worth mentioning that in my opinion, the Israeli army is the strongest army in the world with the highest ratio of armed forces to one soldier. This has a huge impact on the conclusion of this conflict.